Archived Premier League Football Betting Tips
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| (29th September
2007) |
| Premier League football
betting tips are given one of the following three ratings: |
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Banker,
large stake, predicted outcome is more than likely. |
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Likely
outcome, medium stake, worth a gamble. |
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Worth a flutter,
small stake, be prudent with these and stick to matches where
you can spot the value. |
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| Below
were the predicted outcomes for the weekend fixtures Sat 29th
September to Mon 1st October 2007. |
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| Archived
Premier League football betting tips (29th Sep to 1st Oct 2007) |
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| Sat 12:45 |
Man City v Newcastle |
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City's previous Premier league game at Craven Cottage was
nothing short of a thriller and at complete odds to all previous
games. They conceded 3, scored 3 and in the end had to settle
for just a point. Things got back to normal at Eastlands in
midweek when Samaras popped up for the winner in the last
minute after wasting numerous chances against Norwich. Sven's
men have yet to concede at home and host a Newcastle side
that were at full strength against a young Arsenal side in
the midweek Carling Cup fixture, but failed to find the back
of the net and went down by a 2 goal deficit. The Magpies
have never been renowned travellers and their previous Premier
league away game ended in a 1 goal defeat at Derby. Owen will
be out for a while and though Viduka looked a handful at home
to West Ham and they ran out eventual winners, can they carry
that form on the road? I suspect City will keep them out and
revert to type by nicking the winner late on.
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Home Win 1-0 ....
Best Odds: 27/20 Expekt |
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| Sat 3:00 |
Chelsea v Fulham |
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On the face of it, this looks like another mismatched West
London derby; Chelsea may still be above Fulham but so many
other factors have changed since last season. Chelsea have
rid themselves of Mourinho, have an Israeli at the helm (for
how long) and no win in 4 games with 2 successive Premier
league away defeats. Fulham still find themselves hovering
just above the relegation zone but are the second Premier
league highest scorers behind Arsenal; if it hadn't been for
their leaky defence they'd find themselves in a much healthier
position. Much has been made of the possible exodus from Stamford
Bridge but the bottom line is that they miss Lampard and Drogba,
and there aren't enough Terrys to go round (and even he's
looked below par). The Blues have had a tough time in recent
weeks (of their own making) but they'll expect things to take
a turn for the better against their local rivals. Sanchez
has certainly made Fulham more entertaining but they have
just a single point on the road and his toughest challenge
comes on Saturday; Chelsea may be in the doldrums but expect
them to do Fulham no favours.
|
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Home Win 2-1 ....
Best Odds: 2/5 Ladbrokes |
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Derby v Bolton |
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This
is a crunch game at the foot of the Premier league and a result
for either of these sides could provide the catalyst for a good
run; 3 points in the win bin will bolster confidence all round.
By the same token, neither side will want to lose it as the
resultant effects could see an adverse reaction. Derby may be
below Bolton on goal difference (though -12 can be seen as at
least a point) but their total of 4 points have all come at
Pride Park. The Rams have proved that they can dig in at home
when Kenny Miller scored against Newcastle and they managed
to hang on for a maximum but the telling factor will be how
much conceding 6 at Anfield and 5 at the Emirates has affected
them. Bolton have lost all 3 away games and seem to be slowly
reverting back to a more physical gameplan. Against Spurs, Campo
popped up with the equaliser and he should be starting for Bolton
in this one. Derby are relying on their competitiveness at home
but Bolton should be able to match them on that respect, with
the bonus of having players that can nick that vital goal. |
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Away
Win 0-1 .... Best Odds: 9/5 Unibet |
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Portsmouth v Reading |
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Pompey's result at Ewood Park came as something of a surprise
and goes some way to supporting their credentials as a side
that can match the expectations set last season. They remain
unbeaten at Fratton Park and will hope the home fans can provide
the twelfth man and carry them to another good result against
Reading. The Royals managed to put a stop to their bad run
with a vital home win over Wigan but will need to put a bit
of a run together if they are to put the second season syndrome
behind them. They're now out of the drop zone but just 1 point
on the road from 3 games means confidence is short and they'll
need to dig in at fortress Fratton if they are to take anything
back to the Madjeski. It's an unlikely scenario and my money
would be on the home side.
|
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Home
Win 2-0 .... Best Odds: 4/5 Unibet,
PaddyPower,
SkyBet |
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Sunderland v Blackburn |
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Sunderland are proving that they are no mugs and under Roy
Keane make up what they lack in quality with extra competitive
edge. At the Stadium of Light they've taken 6 points from
3 games and they've shown themselves capabe of snatching points
with late goals. Any team that settles against them could
well get a rude awakening but Blackburn themselves have a
competitive edge as well as substantial creative quality.
Rovers have not matched expectations so far this season and
not disrespecting Sunderland, but if Mark Hughes has his eye
on a top six finish then maximum points are a must from this
game. They were disappointing at home to Portsmouth and whilst
they looked tight at the back, they surprisingly lacked the
guile to break down a Pompey side that aren't the best travellers.
That result could possibly be blamed on tiredness after the
midweek European defeat; maybe their Carling Cup win over
Birmingham will have the opposite effect. A result that will
go with whoever is best on the day but Blackburn will hit
some good form sooner rather than later.
|
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Away
Win 1-2 .... Best Odds: 34/20 Unibet |
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West Ham v Arsenal |
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As much as it pains me, Arsenal are top of the Premier league
with a game in hand and 2 points over nearest rivals United
but the fixture list has been in their favour and they've
drawn confidence from successive home victories. Wenger played
his reserves in the midweek Carling Cup game at home to a
full strength Newcastle and they still emerged winners to
the tune of 2 goals and a clean sheet into the bargain. Contrary
to pre-season pessimism the Gunners are sparkling (only they
and Liverpool remain undefeated) and West Ham have much to
fear. The Hammers have had a mixed bag of results so far and
their home form hasn't been the most convincing with 4 points
from 3 games. West Ham did the double over Arsenal last season
when the odds were stacked against them, but Wenger's key
players will have fresh legs and are in such scintillating
form at the moment that it seems foolhardy to bet against
them. Gunners to gain revenge for last season's disappointment.
|
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Away
Win 0-2 .... Best Odds: 17/20 Expekt |
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Wigan v Liverpool |
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After being favoured pre-season for the drop, Wigan have
proved themselves tougher than the average pundit and maintained
an unbeaten record at home. Heskey has been a big loss to
them but there was some consolation when Marcus Bent popped
up with a goal in the defeat at Reading. Hutchings needs reliable
home form to ensure that his side remain in the Premier league
this season but they'll need to play well if they are to emerge
with anything against Liverpool at the JJB. The frustrating
thing for the Wigan manager is that he won't have much of
a clue as to the Liverpool lineup, considering Benitez probably
has very little idea what it will be. The Spaniard's rotation
policy has far from worked and the surprise is that he's employed
it so early in the season; good players want to play week
in week out and that's what the fans want to see, not goalless
draws at Fratton Park and at home to Birmingham. If Liverpool's
priority is the Premier league then we should see Benitez
fielding a decent side on Saturday and they should win; they
can't afford to keep dropping points against meagre opposition
if the title is to be theirs.
|
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Away
Win 0-2 .... Best Odds: 8/13 SkyBet,
Coral,
PaddyPower |
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| Sat 5:15 |
Birmingham v Man
Utd |
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Fergie gave the kids a chance at home to Coventry and their
inability to grasp the opportunity with both feet means the
United manager will undoubtedly revert to his full strength
side for the trip to St Andrews.; they won't be resting players
a la Benitez. United's early season games didn't go to plan
but excluding the Carling Cup defeat, they've won their last
4 games by a single goal. They're now second behind Arsenal
having played an extra game but can't rest on their laurels
against Birmingham if they are to keep up the pressure on
those around them. Rooney and Ronaldo back in the squad is
a big bonus but they haven't really fired as yet and Bruce's
men will be looking to keep it that way. Their draw against
an out-of-sorts Liverpool was well earned but the trouble
is he must look at United's potential and inevitably be worried;
maybe he'll concentrate on what his own side do well but despite
their competitiveness they've only managed 2 victories from
7 fixtures. Expect Birmingham to let the United players know
that they've been in a game but the result is unlikely to
go in their favour.
|
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Away Win 0-1 ....
Best Odds: 4/7 SkyBet |
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| Sun 4:00 |
Everton v Middlesbrough |
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It's 2 defeats on the bounce for Everton; nil points at home
to United and then again away at Villa Park. Amongst all this
came their shocker at home in the UEFA Cup but the Carling
Cup in midweek allowed them to pick up at Sheffield Wednesday.
Andy Johnson has been playing well but finding the back of
the net has been a problem and as a consequence Everton have
struggled for goals. The big positive for David Moyes is that
they'll face an under strength Boro side, with possibly Mido,
Tuncay and Aliadiere all unavailable. During midweek they
survived at White Hart Lane until the latter stages but eventually
they cracked and not surprisingly, they looked very unlikely
to score. Boro have just 2 wins from their Premier league
campaign so far and it looks like they'll eventually succumb
to the inevitable onslaught at Goodison.
|
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Home
Win 2-0 .... Best Odds: 5/6 SkyBet |
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| Mon 8:00 |
Tottenham v Aston
Villa |
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Whilst Spurs have to admit that they haven't had the best
of starts and are in the bottom three, it's a tad unacceptable
to lay the blame solely at the feet of Martin Jol. Sacking
the manager could set them back several years as a new face
would want to bring different players in and possibly play
a different way. The lilywhites have played both United and
Arsenal this season (both to no avail) but have snatched 2
vital points from their last 2 away games against Fulham and
Bolton; truth be told, they should have won both of these
but a point shouldn't be sniggered at on the road. Villa is
a big test for them on Monday night but they have home advantage
and the Villa are yet to win away from home. Martin O'Neill
has a youthful squad with much potential but Curtis Davies's
debut in the Carling Cup against Leicester could have gone
better. Villa were unlucky when they lost by a single goal
at Man City but I suspect Spurs will test the Villa defence
a little more (though the Spurs strikers have all been guilty
of missing glaring chances). Jol will be desperate for 3 points
at home and a clean sheet against Boro midweek could instill
some confidence to return a maximum at the Lane.
|
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Home Win 2-1 ....
Best Odds: 1/1 bet365, SkyBet
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